By Stephen Van Evera

What motives battle? How can army conflicts top be avoided? during this e-book, Stephen Van Evera frames 5 stipulations that elevate the danger of interstate warfare: fake optimism concerning the most probably final result of a warfare, a first-strike virtue, fluctuation within the relative strength of states, situations that let countries to parlay one conquest into one other, and situations that make conquest easy.

According to Van Evera, all yet this sort of conditions-false optimism-rarely happen this day, yet policymakers usually erroneously think of their life. He argues that those misperceptions are chargeable for many glossy wars, and explores either international Wars, the Korean warfare, and the 1967 Mideast struggle as attempt instances. eventually, he assesses the potential of nuclear battle via utilising all 5 hypotheses to its power onset. Van Evera's ebook demonstrates that principles from the Realist paradigm can supply powerful causes for foreign clash and necessary prescriptions for its control.

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